第二次中印戰爭暴發?
印度要與中國再度開戰?
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Beijing and Delhi accuse each other of unilateral actions on de facto border.
Indias death toll has jumped to 20 after a clash with Chinese troops on the countries disputed Himalayan border, where the two sides have been locked in a tense standoff for more than a month, the Indian Army said in a statement 20200609 night.
Hu Xijin, the editor-in-chief of the Global Times -- a newspaper under Chinese Communist Party-run Peoples Daily -- tweeted: "Based on what I know, Chinese side also suffered casualties in the Galwan Valley physical clash."
"My understanding is the Chinese side doesnt want people of the two countries to compare the casualties number so to avoid stoking public mood," Hu added. "This is goodwill from Beijing."
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China is now worlds second-largest arms producer.
自從上一世紀1962年中國與印度暴發戰爭之後,至今將近58年,雙方沒有正式暴發大規模軍事衝突,但是零星的挑釁鬥毆事件層出不窮,從未停止過,雙方邊界疆域的主權之爭,但是雙方始終未曾召開會議,協商溝通如何劃分出,邊界疆域的界線問題,美國方面表達關切,願意介入協調,但是都被中國與印度雙方拒絕,國際戰略觀察家分析:
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截至筆者發稿為止外交談判扔然持續進行.
國際戰略觀察家認為2020中印戰爭,是為要奪得印度洋的控制權,印度方面將完全抵抗中國海軍強勢崛起,最後極為可能被美國趁虛而入,強拉印度進入印太戰略計劃,抵制中國向印度洋的擴張,印度建造的航空母艦因故推遲將近3年,都未能交付海軍服役,大為影響印度海軍的戰鬥力,傳聞印度有意租借軍港或是同意美國海軍進駐印度,協助抵抗中國,但是俄羅斯極力反對,美國自今尚未決定是否答應印度方面的訴求,正進行戰略評估以防止印度阿3.的牆頭草兩面倒,其實印太戰略計劃對於印度方面不利,因為一旦印度倒向美國則印度海軍多年來的努力,都付諸東流,如果美國海軍幫助印度就是壓制印度海軍,否則印度就不會向俄羅斯租用核子潛艦使用,但是美國同意租借航空母艦給予印度使用,那樣一來印度洋的戰略佈局,對於中國,美國及印度就要重新洗牌喇.
.國防軍力對比印度明顯有差距
1:印度與中國企圖製造戰爭假象,誘惑世界各國焦點,偏離因為印度遭受到新冠疫病侵害已經損失慘重,死亡率攀升且,無公開真像,尤其是偏遠的鄉村地區.
2:印度長久以來基礎建設落後,國民義務教育率無法普及,導致於人口知識水平低落,城鄉差距問題嚴重,許多鄉下人擁入各大城市找尋工作,也造成城市內遊民增加,犯罪行為層出不窮,從偷竊,搶劫,兇殺,販賣人口,製造低檔的仿冒品類的產品,情色氾濫,沿海城市走私,販毒事件增加,印度黑社會自古以來,就存在社會的低層,他們勾結地方政府形成自己的勢力範圍,印度的許多社會犯罪行為的案件,多數被黑社會與警方掩蓋.
3:印度平貧窮的男子,無法娶妻生子,此印度婦女遭受到強暴犯罪事件,有增無減,社會問題嚴重統的種姓制度,無法更除,階級仇恨也無法改變,貧富不均在印度的大城市尤為明顯,劃分出有錢人高級住宅區與貧民窟,只是一街之隔,許多的婦女被販賣到妓院賣淫為生養活一家老小,英國BBC.與美國CNN.曾經多次報導印度的社會現象見怪不怪.
4:由於印度曾經是英國的殖民地,在首都新得里與舊都及加爾各達,孟買等大都市的有錢人,有機會接受英式系統的教育,也有人至英國,美國留學,他們是印度的領導階層人士,掌管印度政治,經濟等事項的特權份子,他們口說印度腔調的英語,乍聽之下聽不懂,他們到底說話是何種語言,印度人講英語很快速,如果沒有長期與他們相處,就無法瞭解他們唱歌式的英語,但是唯有英國人,知道印度人所講的英語是什麼,畢竟是英國人訓練出來的印度奴才,在印度英語是官方語言與印度文並駕齊驅平等印度官方文件也是如此,有些印度的廣播電台與電視台清一色竟然都是英語節目與英語廣播.可見英國殖民主義早已深入印度社會無法改變.
5:英國統治印度期間培養及訓練軍隊充當為擋箭牌,替英國軍隊打先鋒,警察充當為走路工的巡邏狗.因此英國在鴉片戰爭之後的五口通商的城市,引進紅頭阿3當作警察,替英國人管理租借內地區的治安,捕快等事項,在上海,香港,廣州,天津,武漢都有印度籍的警察(紅頭阿3)出現於,租借區的街頭巷尾,直到1930年代末葉,才逐漸撤離,因此在上述的地區當地的中國人,對於印度人沒有好感,因為他們狗仗人勢,欺壓中國的老百姓,印度在近代中國史上留下來污點,直到今日中國拍攝許多的電影與電視劇,如果有英國及外國殖民主義的情節出現,也少不了印度的紅頭阿3在街頭巷尾巡邏,辦差的鏡頭出現.
6:好不容易印度出現強人領導者首相莫迪,大刀擴斧改革開放,普及國民義務教育,由此看來偏遠地區與窮鄉僻壤的村莊孩童都可以免費入學,接受6年制的小學教育,以及獲得營養午餐的供應,許多貧窮的家庭才願意讓小朋友上學吃飯,否則他們永遠成為
”童工”,被剝削的窮人,在印度販賣人口為奴隸是家常便飯,即使政府3令五申,不得販賣奴隸,可是在印度的許多省份的菜市場內,扔然可以見到待價而沽的奴隸等待買主上門討價還價,難道是當地印度警察,未曾看見或是聽到有人販賣人口圖利?
僅管時代變遷紅頭阿3 ,依舊不變的承襲不良的傳統與陋規,就是紅包文化.眼不見為淨?
8:印度軍隊自從英國成為印度的宗主國後,殖民主義在印度擴張勢力,也就是說英國軍方多數是依靠印度軍隊打先鋒的開疆闢土,英國人訓練印度軍隊,直到今日印度軍方可以說是完全繼承英國軍隊系統,從招募士兵到訓練,分配到各級部隊,完全依照英國軍方制度辦理,高階的印度軍官扔然要到英國皇家軍事學院深造培訓,所以導致英國軍方系統的一脈相成,在印度的高階軍官內部,他們每月的慶生會,都要穿著軍官禮服,參加餐會,拿起刀與叉吃西餐,飯後聽到音樂與女性起舞,這樣一來十足的英式作風,到今日未曾改變,印度聖雄甘地曾經大肆批評,印度軍方不應該如此的孝忠英國女王,搞些無用的軍官社交活動,應該自立自強保家衛國,否則1962年的戰爭被中國打敗棄甲逃亡,哀印度軍隊就是被英國搞垮的,在印度脫離英國統治宣告獨立後,至今扔有英國軍事顧問,充斥於印度各及軍隊中,擔任軍事顧問,做些沒有效果的事情,誰人知曉印度的作戰演習計劃也是英語編制,雖然近年來印度軍方大幅度的變革,也採購許多法國,英國,俄羅斯,以色列,美國的軍事武器,諸如飛機,坦克車,飛彈甚至於租用俄羅斯的核子潛艦,充當門面,誰人知曉不小心撞壞,賠償及修繕的金額,都可以買1艘新船喇,尤其是印度的空軍的飛機是萬國牌的總匯各國的飛機在印度上空飛行令人眼花撩亂,一不小心就墜機,印度是全世界摔下來飛機的萬冠軍,雖然自主研發的光輝級戰鬥機,以及自己研發的航空母艦,至今尚在調整中,無法形成戰鬥力加入軍方服役.
國際軍事專家評估,印度軍方早已四分五裂,各自形成派系鬥爭(法國,英國,俄羅斯,以色列,美國)幕後抄操縱,無法協調統一戰線,如果暴發第二次中,印戰爭必敗無疑.印度軍事武器雜亂無章,無法統一協調使用,互相支援,其電子作戰系統較為先進之外,也無法完全協助其他軍事武器,尤其是戰鬥機與飛彈的融合使用,在中國則沒有如此嚴重的問題干擾,因為中國武器系統80%左右,已經是中國自行研究生產使用,統一調度配合先進的電子作戰系統及北斗衛星的協助,在戰爭初期就已經控制局面,形成優勢,這樣一來印度軍方,不敢大勢攻勢中國,僅有小小的玩弄零星的戰鬥突擊事件,雖然目前印度軍方大幅度的調兵遣將,運輸重型武器俄製T-90、T-72主戰坦車及火炮到前線支援作戰,國際軍事專家評估,那只是印度軍方故意擺設出的場面架式,好安拂印度老百姓,印度軍隊真棒要保家衛國,打敗中國,替印度人報仇血恨.
9:中國方面2020Q1.經濟損失成負成長,失業率提升,盡可能的復工生產,但是許多外籍公司停留於觀望期,預期2020Q3.才能恢復過來正常作業.
10:有關中國軍方的評估,西方軍事觀察家有公正客觀的論述,如果本次中印戰爭正式暴發大規模的戰役,扔然是中國取得勝利,印度2度慘敗,此次戰爭評估中國重質不重量,到目前為止中國集結兵力10萬人左右,而印度已增兵20萬人左右.根據美國軍事情報指出,中國傘兵特種部隊,已經於20200613的夜間成功跳傘登陸,在西藏某軍事基地,取得山地作戰特殊武器裝備等先進武器,尤其是中國自主研發製造的山地坦克車,可以完全適應高海跋的山區作戰,這樣一來印度的重型T-90坦克車就完全處在業劣勢等待被摧毀.
CHINA AIR FORCE J-16.better more than India Mirage -2000i.SU-30MMKI.?
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印度陸軍使用俄羅斯T-90.主戰重型坦克車在高海跋山區作戰僅有50%.的功效.
中國陸軍山地作戰部隊配置高地輕型坦克車,ZTQ佈署西藏高山地區將是印度陸軍T-90坦克車的剋星.
中國30噸新型輕型坦克在青藏高原的演習中進行了展示和演練了，這也標誌著此款輕坦已經形成戰鬥力，並成建制化具備實戰能力。
該坦克既可滿足南方水網丘陵地帶使用，也可以應用於高原，是一款全疆域使用的優秀輕坦，由於其重量較輕，可以適用於絕大多數橋樑和路面，在採用新型彈種後，甚至有在高原就此，我們可以說新式30噸坦克有可以與三代主戰坦克一戰的可能，而且考慮其近乎全疆域化使用的特點，使用地域和範圍比三代主戰坦克更廣!
ZTQ專為西藏崎嶇多山的地形和中越邊境的山地叢林而設計。目前ZTQ坦克進入了大規模量產階段，在幾個月前，已經有人在中國西部的高原地區見過其身影。ZTQ將替代上世紀60年代入役的重21噸的62式坦克。中國T-99.主戰坦克車曾經在世界坦克車大賽中奪得亞軍?
CHINA PLA ARMY.
India and China are actually far from a war.Stakes too high for war, though keeping fear-psychosis going is part of the survival kit!
Foreign policy or diplomacy needn’t necessarily be a zero-sum game. Not always, that is.
Looking at the trajectory of the recent skirmishes between Indian and Chinese infantry troops stationed along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in the Ladakh region, the truth behind this adage becomes all the more obvious. When it comes to a game of one-upmanship involving two neighbouring states with such massive economic and military resources and accounting for the combined fortunes of as much as 38 per cent of the global population, then the contours of Indo-China relations since the early 1960s present a case study that’s truly unique.
To put things in perspective, China, the world’s second-largest economy, and India, the fifth-largest economy in the world, share a border that stretches over 4,056 kilometres. And yet, the last time these two Asian powerhouses were involved in a military conflict was way back in 1967. Since then, while border skirmishes over disputed land territories primarily along the Line of Actual Control have often been recorded, not a single bullet has been fired from either side, leave alone fighting a war. In 2017, the armies with the world’s second and third-largest infantries faced off for a 73-day border pow-wow at Doklam in Bhutan, which was settled through diplomatic channels – again, without even the slightest trace of a smoking gun anywhere on either side of the border.
Retaliatory measure
The latest skirmishes between the armies of the two countries in Galwan, Ladakh, which started earlier this month, need to be seen in the light of this unique position that both Beijing and New Delhi share with each other.The tactical aspect of even a low-intensity war in an age of social media activism and proliferation of the world-wide-web can prove to be far more bruising than many a smart bomb put together
Foreign policy hyperposition
Showing off its military might and muscle-flexing at places well and truly beyond its shores have long been a part and parcel of Beijing’s not-so-nuanced foreign policy hyperposition. Coupled with that is its global business and entrepreneurship overreach in the form of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) that plans to have China’s unmistakable footprints on infrastructure projects worth around $8 trillion covering 60 countries primarily from Asia and Europe, but also involving Oceania and East Africa. Add to that the fact that by virtue of being a manufacturing behemoth, China today has its finger tips firmly placed on the nerve-centre of global supply chain.
Given such a massive global presence as a military-manufacturing-entrepreneurship triple-play blockbuster that has fast come to contest even the United States, the world’s largest economy, it is only natural for Beijing to try and browbeat its next-door neighbour that runs the best chance of acting as an effective counterweight to its expansionist intent in the Asia-Pacific and elsewhere. So in that sense, a massive Chinese troop build-up along a fiercely contested territory of mutual interest with India is not entirely unusual. But the moot point is: Can China really afford to provoke India into a full-scale war at this juncture, notwithstanding its overwhelming military might? The answer to that lies more within China’s geographical boundaries and not so much beyond it.
War games’
Apart from the diplomatic point-counterpoint, modern statecraft has a lot to do with what in popular parlance is often referred to as “war games”. What we have been noticing in Galwan Valley over the last fortnight has a lot to do with ramping up tension for a projected military exigency to keep the neighbour next door feel a little more insecure at times of grave uncertainties otherwise, without actually ratcheting up a war-cry. For both India and China, the stakes are too high for an all-out military conflict, though keeping the fear-psychosis going is just as much a part of the survival kit!
INDIA ARMY.
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印度空軍是雜牌軍集合法國,俄國,英國等飛機在天空亂飛.
India air force need more training otherwise falling down .Indian Rafale fighter jets to fly with BS-series tail numbers honouring .
近日中國軍隊第76集團軍某合成旅進行遠程機動至海拔4000多米的崑崙山腹地開展野外駐訓，一是演練我軍的快速投放能力，尤其是中部戰區的空軍快速投放到西北高原。二是演練軍隊的抗高寒能力，從湖北到西北雪域高原，士兵們需要承受著巨大的溫差變化。三是演練新式裝備的實戰能力，第76集團軍某合成旅裝備了CT-99式主戰坦克、紅箭-10反坦克導彈、C-04A步兵戰車等先進武器，是解放軍鎮守西部邊疆地區的最重要力量。四是演練作戰運輸能力，除空中投放外，此次還通過鐵路運輸進行快速投放，尤其是類似坦克等履帶式裝甲車的大規模設備都是通過鐵路運輸，因為鐵路運輸速度較快，裝載量較大，且效率較高。今後隨著解放軍的遠程投送常態化，鐵路運輸也將成為一個重要環節。可以說這四方面顯示了我們軍隊的轉型，在走向現代化的過程中，我們各種能力也都應該以現代化的標準來衡量。因此這次演練不僅依靠我軍光榮的傳統精神力量作支撐，更有賴於更新換代的現代化裝備來提升我們的實戰能力。只有解放軍戰士的高昂士氣和現代化的裝備結合在一起，才能創造強大的戰鬥力。」
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5樓. red square 1232020/06/20 18:55「印度斯坦時報」（Hindustan Times）今天報導，印度部隊在這次暴力衝突中有一名上校指揮官和19名軍人死亡，這是45年來與中國人民解放軍衝突中第一批印度死傷者。印度高層官員今天說，中共部隊的指揮官和副指揮官都陣亡。中共承認人民解放軍在衝突中有傷亡，卻迴避國際媒體對衝突細節的提問。印度總理莫迪表示，中共軍人在印中近期邊境衝突中沒有越境，雙方邊防軍人已經撤出衝突地點。
印度總理莫迪星期五（6月19日）表示，印中兩國本星期早些時候在兩國邊境拉達克地區的加勒萬河谷爆發的衝突已經平息。這次衝突導致20名印度軍人死亡，70多人受傷。路透社說，印中兩國正試圖降低邊境地區的緊張局勢，莫迪似乎也在為這次邊境衝突降溫。
red square 123 於 2020/06/20 18:57回覆-
4樓. red square 1232020/06/20 16:47
Not at war with China but fully prepared, says Air Force chief Bhadauria.
Mischievous interpretation: Govt on Cong barbs over PM’s Ladakh stand-off remark
The government on Saturday said some quarters were giving a mischievous interpretation to remarks by Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the all-party meeting called on Friday to discuss the India-China border situation, adding that the PM has made it clear that the country will “respond firmly” and that forces now “decisively counter” any transgressions at the Line of Actual Control (LAC).
red square 123 於 2020/06/20 16:49回覆 -
3樓. red square 1232020/06/20 00:30
Intense negotiations through diplomatic and military channels, including three rounds of talks between senior military officers, led to the release of 10 Indian soldiers detained by the Chinese side during the violent brawl of June 15 in Galwan Valley, people familiar with developments said.The people, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the 10 soldiers, including at least two officers, were returned to the Indian side on Thursday evening, three days after the violent face-off along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) that left 20 soldiers, including a colonel, dead.印度軍隊和外交部星期四表示, 印度士兵"失蹤", 中國釋放了10名印度士兵, 其中包括兩名軍官.
In a fresh twist to ongoing India-China skirmishes, unconfirmed sources have asserted that India has now captured the Chinese side of Pangong Lake – a region that was taken under China’s control post the 1962 Indo-China war.
It is to be noted that the India-China stand-off recently took violent turns as the Chinese side killed 20 soldiers, in retaliation, India killed 35+ of its Chinese counterpart. This is for the first time in 45 years when confrontations have gone violent.
red square 123 於 2020/06/20 00:31回覆 -
2樓. red square 1232020/06/18 12:14
Soldiers fell to their deaths as India and China's troops fought with rocks.
India shocked by Himalayan border clash in which unarmed troops fought in the dark
「中印邊境衝突」引發強烈關注 中國網友：和平來之不易，不要挑釁 red square 123 於 2020/06/18 18:00回覆 -
1樓. red square 1232020/06/18 02:02
中印邊防部隊20200615-16日凌晨於加勒萬河谷爆發衝突，印方最先透露己方3死，但至16日晚間，印軍透露於衝突中已有20人陣亡，而印度ANI通訊社則報道中方有43人死傷。
印軍表示，增加的17人死亡，是由於他們受重傷後暴露在低於攝氏零度的高海拔環境下，最終不治。印軍聲明並表示，中印雙方均已退出當晚衝突地區。
red square 123 於 2020/06/18 09:42回覆
