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中國習老大與美國領導人川普,心裡面各懷鬼胎,如何解決台灣 ,雙方各行其是,互不相讓?.

兩隻老狐狸相爭看誰笑到最後才是.贏家.

傳聞美國已經有賭盤開始接受下注100 美元起跳無上限?

.Sitting just a few kilometres from mainland China, the Kinmen islands are Taiwan’s front line with its increasingly menacing neighbour. For The National, CBC’s Chris Brown goes to the region to find out how people are preparing for a war they hope never comes

.U.S. intelligence has suggested that Xi has told his military to be ready for an invasion of Taiwan by 2027.

While for decades the United States has been Taiwan’s unshakable military backer, Trump has added a sense of unpredictability to the relationship. He has already reportedly paused a $400 million arms transfer to Taiwan.

If China invades Taiwan, these islands would be on the front line. 

Taiwans Kinmen Islands are just a few kilometres, at their closest point, from the city of Xiamen in mainland China. That makes some residents nervous about a possible military attack.

.As many as 100,000 troops were once based here. At one point during the 1958 Taiwan Strait Crisis, mainland forces shelled the islands for 44 continuous days.

For a place squeezed up against a hostile adversary and that’s often referred to as the “front line of democracy,” the mood in Kinmen is notably chill.

.To this day Beijing claims Kinmen, and the rest of democratically governed Taiwan, as its own territory, and the communist leadership has not renounced using force in its quest to bring them under its control.

1958-20263 聞名中外的823 砲戰,已經過去66 年度,海峽兩岸從此以後再也沒有發生武裝衝突,當時金門駐軍10 萬人左右,守衛疆土誓死反共.

金門群島：中國入侵的測試場?

前情報員英格拉姆（Philip Ingram）指出，位於中國沿海、擁有15萬人口的金門群島，極可能成為北京測試台灣底線的目標。他分析，中國只需動用極小規模的武力就能輕易接管金門，並藉此觀察國際社會的反應。.

美國反情報機構分析認為PI. 極為可能性是3面諜報報員,否則不能得到極為機密的情報,換取個人的利益?.

國際關係政治觀察分析認為目前迪情勢海峽兩岸都利金做為情報交流迪中繼站?

因此國際情報機構諸如美及西方國家,扔然有少數的情報員,以觀光客的身份,

訪問金門,藉以蒐集情報,驗證海峽兩岸的狀況及動態,至於美國情報機構放話中國將於2027年,攻打台灣, 純屬情報戰,心理戰.

Former intelligence officer Philip Ingram pointed out that the Kinmen Islands, located off the coast of China and home to 150,000 people, are highly likely to become a target for Beijing to test Taiwans bottom line. He analyzed that China could easily take over Kinmen with only a small amount of force, and use this opportunity to observe the international communitys reaction.

Ex-spy Philip Ingram explains how to prevent being snooped on by China and Russia.

China spying: Ex-spy Philip Ingram gives advice on avoiding Russian and Chinese snooping

Former spy and military intelligence officer Philip Ingram tells Sky News how to avoid Chinese and Russian snooping. He adds that a lot of MPs "wouldnt know" if they were potentially being compromised.

A former senior intelligence and security officer with the British Army I took a curious path to journalism via a sales and marketing directorship in the steel industry to learn about business before setting up my own consultancy that ran specialist security publications for several years. Ditching the anchor they became I took the plunge into the freelance world.

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At the same time, China’s military stature has become undeniably more aggressive toward Taiwan. Almost daily, ships and aircraft from the mainland patrol on or near the median line down the Taiwan Strait.  

Its military has also embarked on a major buildup featuring key components that could be used to support an amphibious assault on Taiwan, including D-Day style landing barges. 

PI.示，北京可能在2026年將此地作為「測試場」，衡量國際間的意志力；若習近平真的發動入侵，曾承諾捍衛台灣的美方，極可能由（Donald Trump）下令採取軍事行動? 

.Theres no credible intelligence or official confirmation that China plans to attack Kingman Reef; its likely a misunderstanding for Kinmen (Quemoy) islands, a frontline Taiwanese territory near mainland China facing increased "grey-zone" pressure, but locals generally dont expect imminent war, though tensions are high in the Taiwan Strait, not a distant U.S. territory like Kingman Reef. Kingman Island (Reef) is a U.S. territory in the Pacific, while Kinmen is the key disputed islands near Taiwan, and Chinas military actions focus on Taiwan, not Kingman ...........................................................................

A beach on Kinmen lined with old anti-tank defences.

.“That’s because they still lack certain key capabilities that you would need: the ability to move a large number of troops across the Taiwan Strait; the ability to protect the sea lanes and undersea domain from American or other attempts to disrupt an invasion.”

Other analysts suggest when you add in persistent reports of dissent in the Chinese military and purges of top generals — as well as the potentially huge hit to the economy that an invasion or attack could incur — the timeframe gets pushed even further back.

.　1958年8月23日下午6時許，中共針對金門島各主要軍事目標，以大規模砲兵展開急襲射擊，頓時間全島陷入一片火海煙硝。金門防衛司令部人員正聚集於太武山翠谷水上餐廳準備用餐，突遭密擊落彈襲擊，傷亡慘重。金防部 3 位副司令遭到落彈擊中，全部陣亡。

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砲戰前夕，國防部長俞大維（中）前往金門視導，陷入砲戰首日的風暴之中。圖為俞部長與金防部第10軍軍長張國英將軍（左）。 

　　8月23日這天，共軍集中廈門、煙墩山、蓮嶝、圍頭等地共軍火砲 340 餘門，同時間以奇襲之勢，向金門作全面射擊，共軍砲兵瞄準金防部、各指揮所、砲兵陣地、觀測所、機場，猛烈轟擊，歷時 150 分鐘不間斷，落彈近5萬餘發。金門守軍可以說遭到完全的奇襲。島上所有活動皆遭斷絕，而各級指揮部與各單位之間的通信完全中斷，一時間內，金門陷入一片大亂。前述之太武山翠谷水上餐廳，一直以為是廈門圍頭共軍火砲射程之死角，此次首次為共軍砲火擊中，故而傷亡慘重，竟一次報銷 3 員副司令。總計金防部在共軍 6 個砲兵營 72 門砲 15 分鐘的密集攻擊下，受彈 6 千多發！

　　金門守軍頓時間陷入在共軍的激烈密集的砲火之下。

1949年10月，金門古寧頭戰役，共軍攻擊金門的3個團，全軍覆沒，7千餘人被俘及1950年6月25日，韓戰爆發，中共人民志願軍與美國為首的聯合國軍交戰後，毛澤東決定延遲對金門再次攻擊的行動。1958年8月23日，當日共軍對金門發射4萬餘發砲彈，金門防衛副司令吉星文（七七抗戰駐守盧溝橋國軍團長）、趙家驤、章傑殉職，國軍陣亡92人，輕重傷3百餘人。在44天的砲戰中，共軍對大、小金門，大膽、二膽總計發射474910發砲彈，平均每平方公尺落彈4發。當時，中華民國與美國有《中美共同防禦條約》，美國在此砲戰中，介入有多深？

美國介入協防台灣:美國對台灣與外島的政策，事實上已於1957年10月4日，國家安全會議批准的NSC5723號文件，特別的說明了美國的政策：「在適當時，透過聯合國行動，尋求保持中華民國所轄外島的現況，以台灣為基地，提供中華民國部隊軍事裝備訓練，以協助防衛其外島，美國部隊將用於協助中華民國，在中共攻擊時，防衛中華民國所擁有的外島，當總統判斷在協助保衛上確實需要或適當時，乃採取上項行動。」

美國總統防衛外島的權責，是基於1955年美國國會通過的「台灣決議案」，授權美國總統「在其認為必要時為確保及防衛台灣及澎湖，以抵抗武裝攻擊之特定目的，得使用美國武裝部隊。此項授權包括該地區內，現正掌握友邦國家之有關據點及領土確保及防衛」。

八二三砲戰（英語：Second Taiwan Strait Crisis，另稱第二次臺灣海峽危機）是1958年到1979年（戰況最烈為1958年8月23日至10月5日之間）發生於金門、馬祖及其他中國大陸東南沿岸與島嶼的一系列戰役總稱。中國人民解放軍與中華民國國軍以隔海砲擊為主要戰術行動，因此稱為砲戰。

1958年8月23日解放軍首先發起砲戰，國軍隨即開始反擊美國第七艦隊協助補運金門，而解放軍則以艦艇和炮轟封鎖。9月6日，中華人民共和國國防部部長彭德懷發表《告臺灣同胞書》，宣布「以沒有美國人護航為條件」暫停炮擊7天^[4]。10月初，解放軍在美艦停止護航後宣布停止封鎖，改為「單打雙不打」（逢單日砲擊，雙日不砲擊）。解放軍維持單打雙不打，直到1979年1月1日和美國建交當天，通過《告臺灣同胞書》正式宣布停止砲擊。

萊辛頓號航空母艦（USS Lexington CV-16）是一艘隸屬於美國海軍的航空母艦，為艾塞克斯級航空母艦的八號艦。

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.1958年8月16日，萊辛頓號正在西太平洋巡航。僅八日後，金門砲戰爆發，萊辛頓號即時趕往台灣海峽戒備，並掩護中華民國海軍運送物資到金門。

.The U.S. Navy fleet oiler USS Navasota (AO-106) refueling the aircraft carrier USS Lexington (CVA-16) and the destroyer USS Marshall (DD-676) in the eastern Philippine Sea during the 1958 Taiwan Strait Crisis. Lexington, with assigned Carrier Air Group 21 (CVG-21), was deployed to the Western Pacific from 14 July to 19 December 1958.

.The U.S. carrier USS Lexington (top) with a supply ship and USS Marshall (bottom) off Taiwan during the crisis.

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