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頓巴斯保衛戰開打美 國ISW.提供作戰佈署圖情報分析 WAR GAME FOR DONBAS.
2022/05/23 11:43
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美國戰爭研究所(Institute for the Study of War)是一家美國非營利智庫,由金伯利·卡根於2007年創立,總部位於華盛頓哥倫比亞特區]。該研究所主要向外界提供有關國防和外交政策的研究和分析。它曾經發表過有關敘利亞內戰阿富汗戰爭伊拉克戰爭以及2022年俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭的報告。[ 戰爭研究所得到諸如通用動力DynCorp]雷神技術公司等國防承包商]的支持。

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The battle for Donbas: ‘the real test of this war’.It began with heavy shelling overnight that levelled three-storey residential blocks, hit the town’s nursing home and left four-foot deep craters in the road. Then the heavy armour rolled in. Dozens of Russian tanks, self-propelled guns and armoured personnel carriers advanced on Kreminna from three directions, as residents attempted to flee. After attempting to hold the town over the course of last weekend, Ukrainian troops retreated last Monday. The small town of less than 20,000 people in eastern Ukraine is no standout victory for the Russian army, which two months ago launched an invasion aimed at capturing Kyiv and toppling the country’s pro-western government in a matter of days.

俄羅斯調兵遣將火述移動前往頓巴斯支援作戰俄羅斯已經集結20000人左右.Russian tanks on a road outside Mariupol

國際戰略專家毫不諱言指出烏克蘭與俄羅斯的戰爭,就是另類的美國與俄羅斯的.戰爭,美國援助烏克蘭的各式各樣軍事武器是從未有過的.其次是動用軍事衛星監測戰場,照相繪成最新戰場佈署圖,分析研究指示烏克蘭,的軍隊作戰方案,因此烏克蘭東部地區頓巴斯的大決戰,為關鍵性質的戰役.

Standing in Russia’s way are the troops of the Joint Forces Operation (JFO), some of Ukraine’s best trained and most battle-hardened soldiers, who have been dug into defensive positions for much of the past eight years. Around 40,000 troops were stationed there before the conflict exploded in February, about a quarter of the Ukrainian army, and they will have since been reinforced.

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The map shows the approximate Russian strike axes (red) and Ukrainian defense belts (blue) in the early stage of the Battle of Donbas.
The Battle of Donbas of 2022 is unfolding in an area that is as wide as the famous Kursk salient of 1943.

This undoubtedly indicates a large offensive operation the modern Russian military has never had, and to which it never prepared, according to analysts studying the Russian military.According to the basics of the science of war, an offending party should enjoy a threefold superiority over enemy manpower to reasonably expect success.

Based on the known data about how much of the military power Russia made available for the invasion of Ukraine, the Russian military and collaborationist militant forces in Donbas do not have this advantage, although they would probably be able to gain the upper hand at key points. Moreover, the ongoing fierce Ukrainian defense of Mariupol, which has gone on for more than 50 days, has also prevented nearly 10,000 Russian troops (nearly a dozen BTGs) from being deployed to Donbas. Russia, in its turn, will have to deal with heavily fortified Ukrainian defenses and cities that were prepared for a long and exhausting war. 

The key metropolitan areas of the Ukrainian-controlled part of Donbas, such as Slovyansk-Kramatorsk, Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk, Avdiivka, or Kurakhove, have been turned into strong fortresses that will be hard to get at. 



U.S. Army Paratroopers 82nd Airborne Division - YouTube
國際軍事專家認為美國第82空降師的兵力至少300人左右參戰頓巴斯.?
它們川著烏克蘭軍隊的制服,協助烏克蘭軍隊抵抗俄羅斯軍隊強勢進攻.
俄羅斯與烏克蘭的戰爭ISW.對於情報蒐集,分析,整理甚至於出版專案研究報告,給予美國白宮及國防部參考,如何軍事支援烏克蘭抵抗俄羅斯,一位不願意透露出姓名的退役北約將領證實,已經有美軍顧問參戰於烏克蘭東部地區,包括僱傭兵及特種部隊但是人數不詳.
烏克蘭阿兵哥的M777 重型巨炮,傳聞至少有1名美軍顧問指導操作使用對抗俄羅斯軍隊,美國持續提供烏克蘭軍援,已有超過70門M777155公釐榴彈砲送至烏克蘭,

2022 full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine: 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, Eastern Ukraine offensive, and Battle of Donbas (2022)

On 24 February 2022, Russia launched a new, full-scale invasion of Ukraine.] The DPR and LPR joined the offensive; the separatists stated that an operation to capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast had begun.[] By 25 March 2022, Russian forces claimed control over 93 percent of Luhansk oblast and 54 percent of Donetsk oblast.[ Having encountered heavy resistance to its operations in other parts of Ukraine, Russia announced on the same day that it would shift its focus to the complete "liberation" of the Donbas.[]

.A railway station in Kramatorsk was hit by a Russian rocket strike on 7 April, killing at least 30 people and wounding at least 100 others.[ Pavlo Kyrylenko, the governor of the Donetsk region, said thousands of people had been at the station at the time the 2 rockets struck. Kyrylenko published a photograph online showing several bodies on the ground beside piles of suitcases and other luggage. Armed police wearing flak jackets were also visible. Another photo showed rescue services tackling what appeared to be a fire, with a pall of grey smoke rising into the air. However, these photos could not be immediately verified.[ The Russian Ministry of Defence denied the attack and said in a statement, "All statements by representatives of the Kyiv nationalist regime about the rocket attack allegedly carried out by Russia on April 8 at the railway station in the city of Kramatorsk are a provocation and are absolutely untrue.".

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The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a United States–based think tank founded in 2007 by Kimberly Kagan, providing research and analysis regarding issues of defense and foreign affairs. It has produced reports on the Syrian War, the War in Afghanistan, and the Iraq War, "focusing on military operations, enemy threats, and political trends in diverse conflict zones".[] It currently publishes daily reports on the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine.[]

ISW was founded in response to the stagnation of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, with core funding provided by a group of defense contractors.[] According to a mission statement on its website, ISW aims to provide "real-time, government-independent, and open-source analysis of ongoing military operations and insurgent attacks".[] ISW currently operates as a nonprofit organization, supported by contributions from defense contractors[] including General DynamicsDynCorp,[] and previously, Raytheon.[] It is headquartered in Washington, D.C.

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烏克蘭頓巴斯戰場情勢嚴峻,外圍已經被俄羅斯軍隊包圍80% 以上,俄羅斯加強抽調作戰部隊進駐,增加武器長程火炮以及TOS-1.噴火坦克車,配置特殊炸彈,準備攻擊烏克蘭炮兵陣地(M777.自走砲由美國援助).
RUSSIA TOS-1.MOVE TO DONBAS.

Источник рассказал об особенностях новейшей огнеметной системы "Тосочка".Новейшая российская тяжёлая огнемётная система "Тосочка" получит искусственный интеллект и будет более компактна, чем её предшественники - ТОС "Солнцепёк"/"Буратино", заявил РИА Новости источник в оборонно-промышленном комплексе."Проходящая сегодня испытания ТОС "Тосочка" будет отличаться от предшественниц наличием элементов искусственного интеллекта, также у неё существенно выросла дальность поражения. Сама машина стала довольно симпатичной: улучшена эргономика, сегодня подобных образцов больше в мире нет", - сказал собеседник агентства.

Информация об использовании на Донбассе российских тяжелых огнеметных систем

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.RUSSIA TOS-1.vs USA/777.GUN.POWER.美軍援烏克蘭M777榴彈砲國軍想要
.俄羅斯軍事情報顯示出美軍協助烏克蘭阿兵哥夜間操作使用M777.自走砲.ˇ
ISW(美國華府智庫戰爭研究所)發布烏克蘭東部戰場整體態勢圖,美國軍事戰略專家分析烏克蘭東部地區戰爭,一旦開啟戰爭就是決定烏克蘭的成功或是滅亡,因此美國極為可能有派遣軍事顧問,指導烏克蘭的砲兵部隊如何操作使用,M777.
自走砲對抗俄羅斯軍隊強制的軍隊及武器以及先進的電子通訊設備.
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.Russian forces intensified efforts to encircle and capture Severodonetsk on May 21 and will likely continue to do so in the coming days as efforts on other axes of advance, including Izyum, remain largely stalled. Russian troops in Luhansk Oblast will likely move to capitalize on recent gains made in the Rubizhne-Severodonetsk-Luhansk-Popasna arc to encircle and besiege Severodonetsk—the final Ukrainian strongpoint in Luhansk Oblast. Russian milbloggers are hypothesizing on the success of Russian tactics in the area and have dubbed it the Battle of Severodonetsk—emphasizing that this is the preliminary line of effort in the Donbas theatre.
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Russian forces are focusing on digging in and reinforcing defensive positions in Kharkiv and along the Southern Axis in preparation for Ukrainian counteroffensives, while the majority of active offensive operations remain confined to Izyum-Donetsk City arc and especially the Popasna-Severodonetsk area. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are creating secondary defensive lines on the Southern Axis, indicating that the Russian grouping in this area may be preparing for a major Ukrainian counter-offensive and a protracted conflict..........

Ukrainian military officials reported that some Russian troops withdrawn from the Kharkiv City axis have redeployed to western Donetsk Oblast on May 19. The Ukrainian General Staff said that 260 servicemen withdrawn from the Kharkiv City axis arrived to replace the significant combat losses that the 107th Motorized Rifle Battalion has taken approximately 20 km southwest of Donetsk City. The Ukrainian Military Directorate (GUR) intercepted a Russian serviceman’s call suggesting that some of the 400 servicemen from the Kharkiv City axis who had arrived elsewhere in Donbas were shocked by the intensity of the fighting there compared with what they had experienced in Kharkiv Oblast.
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迴響(2) :
2樓. red square 123
2022/05/25 10:24

俄羅斯國防部搬出2S5風信子152公釐自走砲,鎖定烏軍陣地攻擊,宣稱摧毀了美國軍援的「抗俄大殺器」,M777榴彈砲,,時對烏東發動新攻勢。「高精準空基導彈擊中了4個指揮所,一處位於頓內次克人民共和國,巴克馬特的北方特遣部隊通信中心,還有48個人力和軍事裝備集中區。」

曾跟烏軍奮戰的前美國特種部隊士兵描述戰場當時迪情況,砲聲不斷逼近士兵們拔腿狂奔,逃到安全避難處。美國志願兵Kevin:「人們一直在說噢,你這麼做是為了民主,真的不是你知道這是善與惡對抗,我一直不明白」後來走到一處,當時這些外國志願軍避難的民宅,幾乎被俄軍大砲狠狠摧毀。

美國志願兵Kevin:「這是地獄之家,當時是非常痛苦的,四天睡眠很少真的,重型火砲俄軍的重型步兵出現。」這群由英美志願士兵組成的作戰小組,也想置烏軍於死地,美國志願兵回想當時的戰鬥,根本噩夢一場,對於烏克蘭人來說,這90天也留下揮之不去的創傷陰影。

red square 1232022/05/25 10:33回覆
1樓. red square 123
2022/05/24 10:04

俄軍集中兵力於烏東頓巴斯地區(Donbas)以來,烏克蘭軍隊以其最快的速度把俄軍趕出第二大城哈爾科夫(Kharkiv)周邊。一度遭俄軍猛攻的哈爾科夫,已至少兩周沒聽到砲聲。烏克蘭現在控制領土已延伸到東部40公里處的北頓內次河(Siverskyi Donets River)。不過哈爾科夫北部村莊仍持續遭到俄軍轟炸。

red square 1232022/05/24 10:05回覆
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