CHINA NAVY SO GREAT.
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Japan think tank invites Taiwan to military simulation,Exercise will study response to Chinese blockade..
For the first time, the Japan Forum for Strategic Studies (JFSS) is inviting academics from Taiwan to attend the military simulation of a conflict involving the Taiwan Strait, The unofficial exercise scheduled for Tokyo this month will examine how a Chinese blockade of Taiwan and a large-scale assault will impact the region, per CNA. The simulation is the third since August 2021, but the first to invite military experts from Taiwan.
A delegation from the JFSS including senior former officers of the Japan Self-Defense Forces visited Taiwan in June. During their stay, they contacted the Institute for National Defense and Security Research (INDSR), one of Taiwan’s top defense think tanks..
Previous editions of the military simulations mostly involved Japan and the United States. The next event, scheduled for a weekend between July 15 and July 23, included Taiwan because of its location on key supply routes for Japan, per CNA.
The exercise will help plan the defense of Taiwan as well as show options for crisis management. The concept for the simulation was inspired by the late Prime Minister Abe Shinzo’s words that if Taiwan had an emergency, Japan also had an emergency, and so did the world..
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日本無奈受到美國壓迫,會出兵保護台灣,抵抗中國?
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What next for China, Taiwan and the US? Three.scenarios
- A Chinese invasion of Taiwan remains outside EIUs core forecast for 2022‑26. However, we expect China to use the latest developments to establish a new security paradigm in the Taiwan Strait, namely through the enhancement of its military operations around the island.
- This strategy will allow China to pressure Taiwan steadily and, potentially, to erode its territory over the next decade. This will come at the cost of business and supply-chain certainty, given the likely impact on regional shipping lanes.
- Alternative scenarios involving either direct conflict or an improvement in the security landscape cannot be discounted. Regardless, we counsel multinationals to prepare for a period of heightened volatility.
Chinas live-fire exercises around Taiwan on August 4th‑7th, in response to a visit to Taiwan by Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the US House of Representatives (the lower house of the US parliament), will push Asia into an period of elevated security risk. The last time tensions in the Taiwan Strait reached a similar level was in 1995‑96, during the "third Taiwan Strait crisis". How might a "fourth" crisis develop, and what considerations would this carry for international businesses? 
.海峽兩岸發生戰爭之時美國海軍第7 艦隊,將會援助台灣抵抗中國?
國際戰略專家學者評估海峽兩岸戰爭爆發之時期,美國會派遣航空母艦戰鬥群,駐足於台灣省花蓮縣的外海12海浬外的太平洋上觀戰(公海的國際水域),美國的外交與國防政策都是作秀給予台灣人看,因為一個中國政策,也就是說趁火打劫,敲詐勒索台灣人的金錢,撈一票走人,屆時頂多以人道主義授權非政府組織,來訪台灣,順便接受少數的台灣人及台獨份子,離開台灣潛逃至美國尋求政治庇護,由此看來台灣人真好騙,台灣人太善良喇,可憐又可悲的臺灣同胞們.
Japan think tank’s mock Chinese invasion ends in truce.
A tabletop exercise conducted by a Japanese think tank simulating a Chinese invasion of Taiwan ended with the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) being cut off from logistics at sea and a deadlock on land, before the UN mediated an armistice.
The Japan Forum for Strategic Studies hosted the exercise in Tokyo on Saturday and Sunday in collaboration with military officials and analysts from Taiwan, the US and Japan. It was the third such simulation the think tank had conducted this year.
Taiwan’s participation in the exercise was a first..
美國幕後主導與控制,日本,台灣參加「日本戰略研究論壇」（JFSS）兵棋推演."台灣有事則日本有事",結果令美國相當不滿意,認為日本有意,拖延反應時間,需要準備2週,才能馳援台灣,當中國以武力攻打台灣的時候.
Institute for National Defense and Security Research chairman Huoh Shoou-yeh, center, attends an event held by the Japan Forum for Strategic Studies in Tokyo.20230717.
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前美國官員表示,模擬中共犯台的兵棋推演,凸顯日本決策過程緩慢,而這樣的延遲對於平息這類危機的準備工作帶來影響.
日本民間智庫「日本戰略研究論壇」.（Japan Forum for Strategic Studies）
202307就中共2027年犯台一事進行兵棋推演。這場兵推含括來自日本和台灣的專家,以及前美國高階官員。
兵推的其中一個情境是共軍登陸日本管轄的尖閣諸島（即釣魚台列嶼）。
尖閣諸島為琉球群島一部分,從九州向西南延伸到台灣東部。.
美國國務院前日本處長（Kevin Maher）說：「我們必須等待日本首相宣布這是一場對日本的武裝攻擊,在這樣的情況下得等上2週。」?.
「如果等到危機爆發才要建立這類機制,將為時已晚,我們美國必須思考現在就著手建立相關應變機制與措施,以免屆時無法接受任何戰爭帶來的災難.
日本和美國要在軍事因應上分工合作,東京當局必須先宣布這是一場對日本的「武裝攻擊」,但日本若是因為想要避免衝突而延遲做出這類宣布,確實會讓美國綁手綁腳」。
日本國內普遍認為美國將依據雙邊「美日安保條約」保護日本,但這份條約的真實意圖,是讓日本加入美軍部隊來自我防衛。白宮國家安全會議（National Security Council）前東亞事務主任（Christopher Johnstone）強調在日本,美國和台灣之間迅速建立3邊協調機制的重要性,這套機制將著重於事前決定由誰負責軍事行動和撤離平民等事務。
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國際戰略觀察家分析認為,美國強迫日本,當中國以武力攻打台灣的時候,必須立即出兵保護台灣,解救台灣,換句話說就是要日本作為美國的擋箭牌,替美國人擋子彈,在海峽兩岸的戰爭中成為犧牲品,給犧牲掉,因為美國知悉中國對於日本有深惡痛絕的深仇大恨,從大清王朝的甲午戰爭,日俄戰爭(在中國的遼東半島),,日本出兵中國侵佔東北以及發動七七事變,全面侵略中國,發動侵華戰爭,尤其是攻訐佔中國的首都南京,屠殺中國人將近30餘萬人的重大恥辱,民族的深仇大恨,非報仇不可,中國等待機會,當出兵攻打台灣的時候,也就是說日本,被美國強迫不得不出兵協助台灣,抵抗中國之時,中國將會毫不考慮的以核子武器,攻擊日本,報仇雪恨,中國勢在必行的要消滅日本.所以日本深刻瞭解倒歷史積欠的血債必須血償,美國處心積慮的利用機會,藉由中國消滅日本,當美國強行主導所謂的保護台灣的兵棋推演,日本藉故拖延時間,馳援台灣,就說明出日本痛恨美國的出賣,但是無奈日本終究要償還血債贖罪,因為日本始終不承認侵略中國,屠殺中國人的罪行,善惡到頭終有報,不是不報,時候未到,看起來中國復仇的腳步愈來愈近喇,
"台灣有事則日本有事",是對的,老天有眼,明察秋毫,咱們可以看到日本最後的結局與下場當,然中國收復台灣省,完成中國統一的大業,勢在必行,勢在必得的成功..
.美利堅合眾國與日本國之間互相合作與安全保障條約》（：Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between the United States and Japan，：日本国とアメリカ合衆国との間の相互協力及び安全保障条約）簡稱為《美日安保條約》，是由美國與日本於1960年1月19日在華盛頓簽訂的安全互助條約，此條約宣示兩國將會共同維持與發展武力以聯合抵禦武裝攻擊，且同時也將日本國土內一國受到的攻擊認定為對另一國的危害，也包括美軍駐日的條文。此條約在冷戰時期強化了美日關係，也包括了後來進一步的國際合作與經濟合作的條款。該條約用以取代1951年的美日舊安保條約。
The Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between the United States and Japan (日本国とアメリカ合衆国との間の相互協力及び安全保障条約, Nihon-koku to Amerika-gasshūkoku to no Aida no Sōgo Kyōryoku oyobi Anzen Hoshō Jōyaku), more commonly known as the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty in English and as the Anpo jōyaku (安保条約) or just Anpo (安保) in Japanese, is a treaty that permits the presence of U.S. military bases on Japanese soil, and commits the two nations to defend each other if one or the other is attacked "in the territories under the administration of Japan". Over time, it has had the effect of establishing a military alliance between the United States and Japan......
.締約國的每一方都認識到：對在日本管理下的領土上的任何一方所發動的武裝進攻都會危及它本國的和平和安全,並且宣布它將按照自己的憲法規定和程序採取行動以應付共同的危險。
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任何這種武裝進攻和因此而採取的一切措施，都必須按照聯合國憲章第51條的規定立即報告聯合國安全理事會。在安全理事會採取了為恢復和維持國際和平和安全所必需的措施時，必須停止採取上述措施。
— 美日安保條約 第五條2021年12月1日,日本前首相安倍晉三表示,日本無法容許台灣遭武力侵犯,並指「台灣有事」等同日本有事,也可以說是等同「日美同盟」有事?
日本過度依賴美日安保條約是無用的,美國壓迫日本大肆購買美國的軍事武器設備,每年舉辦美日安保聯合軍事演習,其目的就是消耗日本的經濟財務,因為軍事演習都由美國幕後主導與控制,日本只是棋子,任由美國操縱,至於有部份台獨份子認為,美日安保條約有將台灣涉入,這樣一來誤導台灣人,認為美國同時會出兵保護台灣?
熟識國際法的權威人士分析,這樣一來只有台獨份子的解釋形同自我安慰而已,騙取選票因為英語版的條約沒有任何依字提議台灣,同時日文版本的條約也就是說沒有台灣的字樣.
.19600119,美國與日本在華盛頓特區簽訂了《美利堅合眾國與日本國之安全保障條約》,宣示兩國將共同維持與發展軍事武力以抵抗他國武裝攻擊,其中也包括美軍駐日的條文,在冷戰時期強化了美日關係。
此條約中明訂日本的支援責任與美軍的防衛責任,無論是日本或美國遭受第三方攻擊，,視同對自己國家的攻擊,涵蓋的範圍包括整個遠東地區,而在日本外務省的解密文件中可以證實,遠東範圍的確有將台灣涵括進去?。.
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Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between the United States and Japan.
.In Article 1, the treaty began by establishing that each country would seek to resolve any international disputes peacefully. The treaty also gave prominence to the United Nations in dealing with aggression.
Article 2 generally called for greater collaboration between the two nations in terms of international relations and economics. At a summit meeting between U.S. President John F. Kennedy and Japanese Prime Minister Hayato Ikeda in June 1961, this clause was put into action with the formation of three cabinet level consultative committees - the United States–Japan Conference on Cultural and Educational Interchange (CULCON), the United States–Japan Committee on Scientific Cooperation, and the Joint United States–Japan Committee on Trade and Economic Affairs, all three of which are still in operation in some form.[4]
Article 4 suggests that the United States will consult with Japan in some manner on how it uses the U.S. troops based in Japan.
Article 5 commits the United States to defend Japan if it is attacked by a third party.
Article 6 explicitly grants the United States the right to base troops in Japan, subject to a detailed "Administrative Agreement" negotiated separately.
Article 10 allows for the abrogation of the treaty, after an initial 10-year term, if either party gives one years advance notice to the other of its wish to terminate the treaty.
The agreed minutes to the treaty specified that the Japanese government would be consulted prior to major changes in United States force deployment in Japan or to the use of Japanese bases for combat operations other than to defend Japan itself. Also covered were the limits of both countries jurisdictions over crimes committed in Japan by US military personnel.
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.People from Taiwan, Japan and the United States take part in tabletop war games organized by the Japan Forum for Strategic Studies in Tokyo
DEFENSE/Tabletop war games reveal lack of security dialogue mechanism: Think tank.
.Tokyo, July 16 (CNA) The lack of a mechanism to facilitate direct security dialogue between Taiwan, Japan and the United States is a major concern, the president of a Taiwanese think tank said Sunday at the conclusion of a two-day tabletop war games event held in Japan.
The event was the first unofficial collaborative effort of its kind between the three countries since the Japan Forum for Strategic Studies first organized the exercise in August 2021.
The simulation focused on an attack and blockade of Taiwan by the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army, and on the battlefield management and collaborative defense mechanisms that would be put in place should a conflict break out in the Taiwan Strait.
After participating in this years event, Lai I-chung of the Taipei-based Prospect Foundation told CNA that a (security) mechanism for communications between Taiwan and Japan was currently "almost non-existent."
Citing Saturdays tabletop war games as an example, Lai said events such as simulated humanitarian evacuation efforts were carried out in more of an ad hoc manner which had resulted in many problems and difficulties.
He highlighted President T Ing W call in 2019 that direct high-level security talks between Taiwan and Japan were crucial.Through the tabletop simulation, Lai said he also learned how the Japanese government took many different matters into consideration when making decisions, which is contrary to how some high-level officials in Taiwan had believed the country was likely to simply follow U.S. direction.
During the simulation, the Taiwan side was led by Lai, with Taiwanese observers including Institute for National Defense and Security Research (INDSR) Chairman Huoh Shoou-yeh., INDSR Deputy CEO Lee Ting-sheng , and INDSRs Division of Defense Strategy and Resources Director Su Tzu-yun.
On the question of the establishment of a security dialogue mechanism between Taiwan, Japan and the U.S., Kihara Minoru, a lawmaker in the ruling Japanese Liberal Democratic Party, said at a press conference that while Japan and the U.S. have an alliance, the biggest problem is the lack of a formal relationship between Japan and Taiwan.
Minoru, who acted as Japanese defense minister during the two-day tabletop war games, said various exchanges had still been carried out through the Japan-ROC Diet Members Consultative Council, although at an unofficial capacity due to the absence of formal diplomatic relations...
It is important for Japan, the U.S. and Taiwan to formulate a security dialogue mechanism, he said, adding that everyone involved would seek an appropriate time to address the issue.
Meanwhile, the U.S. side was represented by Kevin Maher, the former head of the Office of Japan Affairs at the State Department, who acted as the countrys president during the two-day war game simulation.
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Japan think tank invites Taiwan scholars to tabletop war games.Taipei, July 1 (CNA) Some Taiwanese defense scholars have been invited to observe the tabletop war games that will be held later this month by a Japanese think tank, simulating a military conflict across the Taiwan Strait, a source told CNA recently.
The source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the invitation was extended in early June, during a visit to Taiwan by Reiko Nagano, secretary-general of the Japan Forum for Strategic Studies (JFSS), at the head of a delegation.
Naganos delegation, which included former Japanese Ground Self-Defense Force chief of staff Kiyofumi Iwata, former Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force chief of staff Tomohisa Takei and former Japanese Air Materiel Command Commander Oue Sadamasa, was in Taipei to visit the Institute for National Defense and Security Research (INDSR).
During the visit, the delegation extended an invitation for some Taiwanese defense scholars to observe the war games in Japan, which are expected to start sometime between July 15 and 23, the source told CNA.
The tabletop games in Japan would simulate a blockade of Taiwan by the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army, the INDSR had said earlier.
The response would focus on battlefield management and collaborative defense measures, in keeping with the notion that "a Taiwan emergency is a Japanese emergency," the institute said.
If Taiwan defense scholars do attend the war games as observers, it will be the first unofficial collaborative effort of its kind between the United States, Japan and Taiwan since the exercise was first held in August 2021, according to the INDSR.
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