「阿富汗是台灣的前車之鑑」.

「今日阿富汗，明日台灣」....

親愛的台灣同胞們必須注意,認清方向,支持和平統一,

拒絕美國帝國主義的陰謀詭計,台灣必須和平解放對不對?

西方國家戰略專家分析認為,中國江在2030年時期左右,主動攻擊台灣,因為2030年中國已經擁有核子動力航空母艦,可以無限期封鎖台灣海峽,也就是說在西太平洋地區可以抗衡美國的核子動力航空母艦,台灣也許反抗,也許選擇投降,簽署海峽兩岸和平統一協議書,這樣一來天下太平,一個中國導致於美國沒戲唱喇.

Many in Beijing doubt that the United States has the military power to stop China from taking Taiwan.

The Taiwan Temptation.Why Beijing Might Resort to Force....

中國一再強調台灣省,是屬於中國的一個省,除了和平統一,此外就是以武力統一,收復台灣省,完成中國的統一.

海峽兩岸和平比較好,萬一不幸發生戰爭,台灣受到嚴重燬滅性的打擊是預期的.

The voices in Beijing arguing that it is time to use newfound military capabilities against Taiwan have grown louder.

  

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Once China has the military capabilities to solve its Taiwan problem, Xi could find it politically untenable not to do so...

Xi may believe he can regain control of Taiwan without jeopardizing his Chinese dream.

For more than 70 years, China and Taiwan have avoided coming to blows. The two entities have been separated since 1949, when the Chinese Civil War, which had begun in 1927, ended with the Communists’ victory and the Nationalists’ retreat to Taiwan. Ever since, the strait separating Taiwan from mainland China—81 miles wide at its narrowest—has been the site of habitual crises and everlasting tensions, but never outright war. For the past decade and a half, cross-strait relations have been relatively stable. In the hopes of persuading the Taiwanese people of the benefits to be gained through a long-overdue unification, China largely pursued its long-standing policy of “peaceful reunification,” enhancing its economic, cultural, and social ties with the island.

NO OPTION IS EXCLUDED”.Those who doubt the immediacy of the threat to Taiwan argue that Xi has not publicly declared a timeline for unification—and may not even have a specific one in mind. Since 1979, when the United States stopped recognizing Taiwan, China’s policy has been, in the words of John Culver, a retired U.S. intelligence officer and Asia analyst, “to preserve the possibility of political unification at some undefined point in the future.” Implied in this formulation is that China can live with the status quo—a de facto, but not de jure, independent Taiwan—in perpetuity...............

But China’s fourth and final campaign—an amphibious assault on the island itself—is far from guaranteed to succeed. According to a 2020 U.S. Department of Defense report, “China continues to build capabilities that would contribute to a full-scale invasion,” but “an attempt to invade Taiwan would likely strain China’s armed forces and invite international intervention.” The then commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, Philip Davidson, said in March that China will have the ability to successfully invade Taiwan in six years. Other observers think it will take longer, perhaps until around 2030 or 2035....

Ultimately, on the question of whether China will use force, Chinese leaders’ perceptions of their chances of victory will matter more than their actual chances of victory. For that reason, it is bad news that Chinese analysts and officials increasingly express confidence that the PLA is well prepared for a military confrontation with the United States over Taiwan. Although Chinese strategists acknowledge the United States’ general military superiority, many have come to believe that because China is closer to Taiwan and cares about it more, the local balance of power tips in Beijing’s favor.

 

As U.S.-Chinese tensions have risen, China’s state-sponsored media outlets have grown more vocal in their praise for the country’s military capabilities. In April, the Global Times described an unnamed military expert saying that “the PLA exercises are not only warnings, but also show real capabilities and pragmatically practicing reunifying the island if it comes to that.” If China chooses to invade, the analyst added, the Taiwanese military “won’t stand a chance.”

美國紐約時報報導,阿富汗局勢迅速惡化,可能又一次損及美國的可信度,盟友更加相信,不能完全依賴美國支持,這種情緒在台灣,烏克蘭,菲律賓,印尼等地特別強烈,受益者是謀求擴張勢力的中國大陸和俄國。塔利班政權再度回到首都喀布再度執政.

亞洲與歐洲許多國家希望,美國能在中俄擴展影響力之際,重新擔任民主國家領導者,但美國從阿富汗撤軍,勢必引發疑慮。

美國撤軍與阿富汗政府可能即將垮台，亞洲國家既無奈又不安。聖地牙哥加州大學廿一世紀中國研究中心主任謝淑麗說：「亞洲多數國家早就想過這個可能性，這是早該發生但拖到現在的事，不是現在才突然發生。」

長久以來台灣受到美國的保護自從中華民國與美國簽訂共同防禦條約.

中華民國與美利堅合眾國間共同防禦條約 Mutual Defense Treaty between the United States of America and the Republic of China

中華民國政府與美國政府在1954年12月3日簽訂的國際條約。該條約以軍事為基礎,包含政治,經濟,社會等合作條約。1979年1月1日,美國與中華人民共和國建交時發布聲明時,依第十條規定,美國國務院正式通知中華民國,《中美共同防禦條約》將於台灣時間1980年1月1日終止。美國國會通過《台灣關係法》取代,並且沿用《中美共同防禦條約》的部份內容。

只如今美國強烈壓迫台灣購買美國2手淘汰型武器,做為某種程度的安全交換條件.?

美國假借軍事演習為餌,吸引台灣陷入戰爭的漩渦中,美國的陰謀詭計就是促使海峽兩岸爆發戰爭,出兵台灣? 協助台灣?

台灣的政客們不分黨派,他們的夢想就是需要美國的保護,如果有朝1日中國真正的出兵攻打台灣,這樣一來美國真正的會出兵相救台灣? 

國際戰略觀察家分析認為,美國最後會主動發起海峽兩岸的戰爭,美國將設計意外演習事件,將攻擊台灣殺害台灣的阿兵哥,轉嫁給予中國,製造矛盾,衝突,好引起中國出兵,台灣與中國正式開戰.如果台灣的親美派執迷不悟依就依賴美國出兵保護可能嗎? 

美國就是狗急跳牆,須要再度駐軍台灣,製造違反台灣關係法的規定,好製造戰爭事端,讓中國中計,美國已經無法管理世界,美國利用台灣當做擋箭牌,死亡的就是台灣人,台灣人就是犧牲品被犧牲掉.台灣無論是任何政黨執政皆是如此下場,唯有國家民族利益在先,唇亡齒寒的道理,各位政客們非常清楚,但是花花綠綠的美元現金鈔票的誘惑力,誰能阻擋?

 

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The New Taiwan Tensions. China is getting more aggressive. Would the U.S.

go to war to protect the island? ....When Henry Kissinger secretly traveled to Beijing in 1971 to negotiate the re-establishment of diplomatic ties between the U.S. and China, he came bearing multiple requests — about the Vietnam War, nuclear arms, the Soviet Union and more. Kissinger’s Chinese counterpart, Zhou Enlai, had only one focus: Taiwan.

 The U.S. needed to recognize the government in Beijing, not Taipei, as the only legitimate China, and the United Nations needed to expel Taiwan, Zhou said. Kissinger agreed to those terms, and President Richard Nixon triumphantly visited China the next year.China also seems to be considering a newly aggressive approach. This week, it sent an aircraft carrier near Taiwan’s coast, as The Times’s Amy Qin, who’s based in Taipei, told me. The Chinese Navy later released a statement saying, “Similar exercises will be conducted on a regular basis in the future..

As part of their rise to global power, China’s leaders believe they must regain control over what they consider their rightful territory. China has already cracked down in Tibet and Xinjiang, partly through severe human rights violations. It has crushed dissent in Hong Kong over the past year. Taiwan remains the only part of greater China that’s outside of Beijing’s grip.

Afghanistan’s Unraveling May Strike Another Blow to U.S. Credibility.

That hesitation will now be felt all the more strongly among countries in play in the world, like Taiwan, Ukraine, the Philippines and Indonesia, which can only please China and Russia, analysts suggest.