Contents ...
udn網路城邦
研究人員表示,由於出席人數和會員比例的下降,美聖公會將在2050年之前不復存在
2021/01/01 20:00
瀏覽49
迴響0
推薦0
引用0

ChristianHeadlines.com

研究人員表示,由於出席人數和會員比例的下降,聖公會將在2050年之前不復存在

據《基督教郵報》報導,美國聖公會的未來似乎暗淡無光,因為會員數量的直線下降可能最終導致該教派在未來幾十年永遠關閉。

德懷特·茲希爾牧師是一位聖公會牧師和教授,他告訴教會領袖,這個教派的未來是“可怕的”,他預測這個教派將在“2050年左右”不復存在。

“總體情況很糟糕。除非趨勢發生重大變化,否則不會出現像死亡一樣嚴重的衰退。”

按照這個速度,“到2050年左右,整個教派都將沒有人做禮拜。””他繼續說道。

Zschelie還解釋說,雖然捐款承諾有所增加,“但從長期來看,捐款更多的人越來越少的事實並不是一個可持續的趨勢。”

根據研究員Ryan Burge的人口統計分析,美國聖公會約55%的人年齡在60歲以上,是全國最大的20個宗教傳統中平均年齡最高的。

伯奇在最近一期的《聖郵報》播客中說,聖公會教堂將在20年後消亡。他在隨後的一篇博客文章中指出,“聖公會教徒有麻煩了”,雖然這個教派可能不會完全消失,但它可能會“大幅減少”,並“依靠生命維持系統”。

伯奇寫道,“當我們審視這個模式而不是平均年齡時,可怕的現實就出現了。”“2019年聖公會教徒的法定年齡是69歲。”

伯奇估計,到2040年,美國聖公會的成員人數可能只占美國人口的0.7%,是目前人數的一半。目前,百分之十四的聖公會教徒有未滿18歲的孩子。 

據《基督教郵報》報導,隨著聖公會教派開始向更進步的方向傾斜——包括2003年任命公開的同性戀主教吉恩·羅賓遜——許多保守教眾已經離開。

在自由宗教傳統盛行的地區,教會也被越來越多的世俗化所掏空。

據報導,1960年,這個教派達到頂峰,約有360萬美國人被認定為聖公會教徒。根據美國聖公會大會辦公室2018年的一份報告,會員人數已降至167.6萬。

2009年,定期做禮拜的人數約為724,000人。然而,到2019年,周日的觀眾人數下降到平均57.9萬人,比10年下降了近25%

201911月,牧師尼爾·伊里亞德(Neil Elliot)在加拿大聖公會(Anglican Church of Canada)總會議上的發言中表達了類似的觀點。根據伊里亞德的說法,由於會員人數的急劇下降,加拿大的聖公會可能在2040年之前不復存在。

照片由一些/ GrandFailure

密爾頓·昆塔尼拉是一名自由撰稿人

Researcher Says the Episcopal Church Will Cease to Exist by 2050 Due to Declining Attendance, Membership

Milton Quintanilla | Contributor for ChristianHeadlines.com | Monday, November 30, 2020
Researcher Says the Episcopal Church Will Cease to Exist by 2050 Due to Declining Attendance, Membership

RESEARCHER SAYS THE EPISCOPAL CHURCH WILL CEASE TO EXIST BY 2050 DUE TO DECLINING ATTENDANCE, MEMBERSHIP


The future of the Episcopal Church seems bleak as plummeting membership numbers may ultimately lead the denomination to close its doors for good in the next few decades, The Christian Post reports Rev. Dwight Zscheile, an Episcopal priest and professor, told ChurchLeaders that the future is “dire” for the denomination and he predicts the denomination will cease to exist “by around 2050.

“The overall picture is dire. Not one of decline as much as demise within the next generation unless trends change significantly," Zscheile said.

At this rate, “there will be no one in worship by around 2050 in the entire denomination.” he continued.

Zschelie also explained that while offering pledges have increased, “the fact that fewer people are giving more money is not a sustainable trend over the long term.”

According to a demographic analysis by researcher Ryan Burge, approximately 55 percent of U.S. Episcopalians are age 60 and older, which is the highest average age of the largest 20 religious traditions nationwide.

Burge told The Holy Post podcast in a recent episode, that the Episcopal church will be dead in two decades. He noted in a subsequent blog post “Episcopalians Are in Trouble” that while the denomination might not die out completely, it will likely be "vastly diminished" and on "life support."

“A terrifying reality emerges” when looking at the mode as opposed to the average age,” Burge wrote. “The modal age of an Episcopalian in 2019 was 69.”

By 2040, Burge estimates the Episcopal Church could see membership numbers as low as 0.7 percent of the U.S population, half of its current size. Currently, 14 percent of professing Episcopalians are parents of children under the age of 18.

According to The Christian Post, as the Episcopalian denomination began to lean in a more progressive direction – including the 2003 appointment of openly gay bishop, Gene Robison – many conservative congregations have left.

In 1960, the denomination was reportedly at its peak with approximately 3.6 million Americans identified as Episcopalian. According to a 2018 report by The Episcopal Church’s Office of the General Convention, membership numbers have dropped to 1.676 million.

In 2009, regular worship attendance was approximately 724,000. By 2019, however, attendance decreased to 579,000 on an average Sunday, a nearly 25 percent drop over a decade.

Rev. Canon Neil Elliot offered a similar sentiment for the Anglican Church of Canada during a November 2019 presentation before the Council of General Synod. According to Elliot, the Anglican Church in Canada may cease to exist by 2040 due to a sharp decline in membership.

Photo courtesy: ©GettyImages/GrandFailure


Milton Quintanilla is a freelance writer. Visit his blog Blessed Are The Forgiven.